Viewing archive of Sunday, 5 July 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 05 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 187 Issued at 2200Z on 05 Jul 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (06 Jul, 07 Jul, 08 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 530 km/s at 05/0737Z. Total IMF reached 10
nT at 04/2254Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
05/0359Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 151 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (06 Jul) and quiet levels
on days two and three (07 Jul, 08 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 06 Jul to 08 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 05 Jul 069 Predicted 06 Jul-08 Jul 069/069/069 90 Day Mean 05 Jul 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 04 Jul 009/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 05 Jul 010/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 06 Jul-08 Jul 008/008-006/005-006/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 Jul to 08 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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