Prohlížíte si archiv pondělí 7. dubna 2003
Report sluneční aktivity
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Zpráva o sluneční-geofyzikální činnosti 2003 Apr 07 2200 UTC
Připraveno NOAA © SWPC a zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive.comSpolečná zpráva USAF / NOAA o sluneční a geofyzikální činnosti
SDF číslo 097 Vydáno za 2200Z za 07 Apr 2003
IA. Analýza solárních aktivních oblastí a aktivity od 06-2100Z do 07-2100Z
Solar activity was at low levels. Region 324 (S13W85)
produced a C2 flare at 07/0304Z. Region 324 was to be the source of
the majority of activity during the past twenty-four hours. Region
324 continues to simplify and decay as it transits the west limb.
Region 325 (N15W63) and Region 331 (S07W34) are the two largest
regions on the disk but are relatively unchanged since yesterday.
New Region 332 (N11E58) was numbered today.
IB. Předpověď sluneční aktivity
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels. Regions 324, 325, and 330 (N07E38) continue to
represent C-class potential with a slight chance of a minor M-class
event.
IIA. Souhrn geofyzikální aktivity 06-2100Z až 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels. Greater than
2 MeV electrons at geo-synchronous orbit reached high levels today.
IIB. Předpověď geofyzikální aktivity
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with a chance of isolated active
conditions. A weak CME shock from the M1 event on 04 April is
expected to arrive late today or early on day one. A returning
coronal hole high speed stream is expected to produce unsettled to
isolated minor storm levels on day three.
III. Pravděpodobnosti události 08 Apr až 10 $ 4
Třída M | 20% | 20% | 15% |
Třída X | 05% | 01% | 01% |
Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
PCAF | green
|
IV. Proud Penticton 10.7 cm
Pozorováno 07 Apr 116
Předpovězeno 08 Apr-10 Apr 110/105/100
90 denní průměr 07 Apr 134
V. Geomagnetické indexy A
Pozorováno Afr/Ap 06 Apr 006/009
Odhadovaný Afr/Ap 07 Apr 007/008
Předpovězeno Afr/Ap 08 Apr-10 Apr 015/015-012/015-020/020
VI. Pravděpodobnosti geomagnetické aktivity 08 Apr až 10 Apr
A. Střední zeměpisné šířky |
Aktivní | 30% | 20% | 30% |
Menší bouře | 10% | 05% | 10% |
Silná bouře | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Vysoké zeměpisné šířky |
Aktivní | 30% | 25% | 40% |
Menší bouře | 15% | 10% | 15% |
Silná bouře | 05% | 03% | 07% |
VII. Comments: Beginning 1500 UTC April 8, SEC will begin using data from the GOES 12 satellite, and stop receiving GOES 8 data. GOES 12 has the new Solar X-Ray Imager (SXI), which will acquire real-time, operational images of the solar x-ray flux. With the switch from GOES 8 to GOES 12, the primary/secondary designations will change. GOES 12 will be the primary satellite for the SXI. All other data, including magnetometer, XRS x-ray measurements, and energetic particles, will have GOES 10 as their primary source, with GOES 12 as the secondary source where available. Please see http://www.sec.noaa.gov/GOES.html for important information on this changeover.
Všechny časy v UTC
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