Prohlížíte si archiv pátek 20. června 2003
Report sluneční aktivity
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Zpráva o sluneční-geofyzikální činnosti 2003 Jun 20 2200 UTC
Připraveno NOAA © SWPC a zpracováno SpaceWeatherLive.comSpolečná zpráva USAF / NOAA o sluneční a geofyzikální činnosti
SDF číslo 171 Vydáno za 2200Z za 20 Jun 2003
IA. Analýza solárních aktivních oblastí a aktivity od 19-2100Z do 20-2100Z
Solar activity increased to low levels today. Region
386 (S07E17) produced two low levels C-class flares today along with
several B-class flares. The northern portion of the penumbral field
appears to have undergone some rotation since yesterday while the
delta magnetic structure in the southern leading edge of group has
changed little during the period and remains intact. Region 387
(N18E36) was quiescent today although spot coverage and magnetic
complexity have both shown growth over the period. Region 389
(S12E14) was newly numbered today.
IB. Předpověď sluneční aktivity
Solar activity is expected to range
from low to moderate levels. Region 386 remains capable of
producing an isolated major event.
IIA. Souhrn geofyzikální aktivity 19-2100Z až 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was at predominantly unsettled levels today as
effects from the western most recurrent coronal hole wanes. The
greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
high levels today.
IIB. Předpověď geofyzikální aktivity
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be at predominantly unsettled levels. Active conditions
may exist especially at high latitudes beginning late on day two
with the return of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Pravděpodobnosti události 21 Jun až 23 $ 4
Třída M | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Třída X | 10% | 10% | 10% |
Proton | 10% | 10% | 10% |
PCAF | yellow
|
IV. Proud Penticton 10.7 cm
Pozorováno 20 Jun 117
Předpovězeno 21 Jun-23 Jun 115/115/120
90 denní průměr 20 Jun 125
V. Geomagnetické indexy A
Pozorováno Afr/Ap 19 Jun 016/018
Odhadovaný Afr/Ap 20 Jun 010/015
Předpovězeno Afr/Ap 21 Jun-23 Jun 010/015-012/015-012/020
VI. Pravděpodobnosti geomagnetické aktivity 21 Jun až 23 Jun
A. Střední zeměpisné šířky |
Aktivní | 15% | 25% | 25% |
Menší bouře | 05% | 05% | 10% |
Silná bouře | 01% | 01% | 01% |
B. Vysoké zeměpisné šířky |
Aktivní | 30% | 30% | 40% |
Menší bouře | 15% | 15% | 20% |
Silná bouře | 05% | 05% | 05% |
99999
PLAIN
K-Indices:
On 16 June, it was determined that a scaling problem exists with the Boulder magnetometer instrument. While this problem, and its fix are being investigated the primary instrument for Boulder K-indices has been switched to the Boulder USGS (via Domsat) magnetometer, effective 1500 UTC on 16 June.
GOES Protons:
To ensure continued operational monitoring of important energetic particle data, it is necessary to reassign primary/secondary designations for the GOES Space Environment Monitor (SEM) detectors. GOES 11 (113W) is now the primary satellite for protons. GOES 12 will continue as the primary satellite for magnetometer, X-ray, and electron measurements. GOES 10 (135W) will be the secondary satellite for all SEM sensors - magnetometer, X-ray, and energetic particles. Because of the degraded state of the proton data on GOES-10, its designation as the secondary source for proton data is a short-term solution. More permanent solutions have been identified and are being evaluated. Users will be notified when we define and schedule a permanent fix. Further details can be found at http://www.sec.noaa.gov/GOES.html.
99999
Všechny časy v UTC
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