Vydáno: 2015 Dec 14 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
14 Dec 2015 | 126 | 007 |
15 Dec 2015 | 129 | 022 |
16 Dec 2015 | 129 | 010 |
A C1.0 flare was released by NOAA AR 2469, peaking at 00:14 UT on December 14. C flares are expected within the next 24 hours, with a chance for an M flare, especially from AR 2470. LASCO C2 imagery showed a slow CME first detected by CACTUS at 11:00 UT, associated with the C5.3 flare which peaked at 10:34 UT on December 13. The CME is directed towards the East and is not expected to be Earthbound. Solar wind speed decreased from about 480 to 380 km/s in the past 24 hours, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 2 and 5 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 2). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 14. The expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream may cause active (K Dourbes = 4) geomagnetic levels on December 15 and 16, with a slight chance for a minor storm (K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 079, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 123 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 073 - Based on 20 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Konec | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Žádný |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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