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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Vydáno: 2017 Feb 23 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Sluneční erupce

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
23 Feb 2017	084	020
24 Feb 2017	084	026
25 Feb 2017	084	008

Bulletin

Catania group 96 (NOAA region 2638) produced the first C flare since the past month, a C4.1 flare peaking at 13:27UT. The amount of mixed polarity field in the middle portion and surroundings of the leading spot has meanwhile diminished. There remains a chance for C flaring from this region. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed in coronagraph data. Proton fluxes are at background levels and expected to remain so.

Since 4:00UT solar wind speed has shown the expected increase under the equatorial coronal hole influence, from around 400 km/s to 450-500 km/s. Total magnetic field increased over the whole period to around 10 nT with Bz variable and not below -5nT. Solar wind conditions are expected to become further enhanced and remain so over the next 48 hours. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 1-3, NOAA Kp 1-2). Active periods must be anticipated under the enhanced solar wind conditions with also minor geomagnetic storm periods possible.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 024, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 22 Feb 2017

Wolf number Catania	028
10cm solar flux	083
AK Chambon La Forêt	012
AK Wingst	010
Estimated Ap	010
Estimated international sunspot number	026 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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