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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Vydáno: 2023 Aug 12 1237 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Sluneční erupce

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Sluneční protony

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
12 Aug 2023	153	007
13 Aug 2023	153	007
14 Aug 2023	153	007

Solar Active Regions and flaring

Solar flaring activity has been quite over the past 24 hours with few C-class flares. The larger flare was a C8.9-class flare produced by NOAA AR 3395 (Catania sunspot group 14) and was peaking at 09:15 UTC on August 12. The other regions did not show any significant flaring activity. Solar flaring activity is expected to remain quite over the next 24 hours with a high probability of C-class flare and a small chance of M-class flares.

Vyhazování koronální hmoty

No coronal mass ejection (CME) with an Earth- directed component was identified in the SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronagraph images over the past 24 hours.

Solární bouře

The solar wind parameters were mostly close to nominal levels over the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed was ranging from 480 km/s to 490 km/s). The total interplanetary magnetic field was below 7.8 nT. The north-south component was fluctuating between -5.4 nT and 7.0 nT. The solar wind conditions are expected to remain as such for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetism

Geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet with some short unsettled periods (NOAA Kp 1-3, K Belgium 1-2) over the past 24 hours. Quiet conditions with possible short unsettled periods are expected for the next 24 hours.

Proton flux levels

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux has now decreased and returned to nominal values. New proton event cannot be excluded due to the flaring activity, however, it is not very likely.

Electron fluxes at geostationary orbit

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was above the level of the 1000 pfu alert threshold for a short period, and is expected to remain below threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal levels and is expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 080, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 11 Aug 2023

Wolf number Catania	121
10cm solar flux	153
AK Chambon La Forêt	011
AK Wingst	004
Estimated Ap	004
Estimated international sunspot number	109 - Based on 29 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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