Kosmoseilma ennustuse alane diskusioon

Välja antud: 2024 Nov 13 0030 UTC
Koostanud Ameerika Ühendriikide kaubandusosakond, NOAA, kosmoseilma prognoosikeskus (SWPC) ja töödeldud SpaceWeatherLive.com-i poolt

Päikese aktiivsus

24 h summaarne

Solar activity was at low levels. The largest flare was a C8.2 at 12/1401 UTC related to a filament eruption near N17W90. Slight decay was observed in Region 3883 (S06W74, Eao/beta) and 3889 (S09W02, Fki/beta-gamma-delta). The rest of the spotted regions were either stable or in decay. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.

Ennustus

M-class flares (R1-R2/Minor-Moderate) are likely, with a chance for X-class flares (R3/Strong) on 13-15 Nov.

Energeetilised osakesed

24 h summaarne

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels and the greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal to moderate levels.

Ennustus

There is a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 13-15 Nov. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 14 Nov.

Päikese tuul

24 h summaarne

Solar wind parameters were nominal. Solar wind speed ranged from 340 km/s to 415 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-6 nT while the Bz component was between +/-5 nT. Phi angle was mostly positive.

Ennustus

Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 13-15 Nov due to the onset of a positive polarity CH HSS.

Georuum

24 h summaarne

The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Ennustus

Unsettled to active levels, with a chance for G1 (Minor) storm levels, are expected on 13-15 Nov with CH HSS onset.