Previsioni Meteorologiche Spaziali - Discussione

Emesso: 2024 Dec 23 0030 UTC
Preparati dal Dipartimento di Commercio degli Stati Uniti, NOAA, Centro di Previsione Meteorologica Spaziale e elaborati da SpaceWeatherLive.com

Attività solare

Sommario di 24 ore
Solar activity reached moderate levels (R1/Minor). Region 3932 (S17E42, Ekc/beta-gamma) produced an impulsive M1.1 flare at 22/2049 UTC; the largest event of the period. Development continued among the cluster of active regions in the SE quadrant. No Earth-directed CMEs were detected in available data.
Previsione
M-class flare activity is likely (R1/R2-Minor/Moderate), with a slight chance for an isolated X-class flare (R3/Strong), over 23-25 Dec.

Particelle energetiche

Sommario di 24 ore
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux remained elevated above background but well below the S1 threshold, mostly due to activity that erupted on the far side of the Sun over 20 Dec. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal and moderate levels.
Previsione
There remains a slight chance for the greater than 10 MeV proton flux to reach S1 (Minor) levels over 23-25 Dec. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to continue at normal to moderate levels through 25 Dec.

Vento Solare

Sommario di 24 ore
Solar wind parameters were enhanced this period. Total field reached a peak of 9 nT and Bz varied between +8/-7 nT. Solar wind speeds ranged between ~500-700 km/s through most of the period. Phi angle was negative.
Previsione
Enhanced solar wind conditions are expected to prevail over 23-25 Dec. Negative polarity CH HSS influences are expected over 23-25 Dec and there is a chance to see the glancing influences of a CME (from 20 Dec) on 24 Dec.

Geospaziale

Sommario di 24 ore
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled levels.
Previsione
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled, with a chance for isolated active periods, over 23-25 Dec due to negative polarity CH HSS influences. An additional enhancement is possible on 24 Dec from the glancing influences of a CME that left the Sun on 20 Dec.

Ultime notizie

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Notizie sul meteo spaziale

Ultimo brillamento X2024/12/08X2.2
Ultimo brillamento M2024/12/22M1.1
Ultima tempesta geomagnetica2024/12/17Kp5+ (G1)
Giorni senza macchie
Ultimo giorno senza macchie2022/06/08
Media mensile Numero di Macchie Solari
novembre 2024152.5 -13.9
dicembre 2024103.3 -49.2
Last 30 days114 -43.9

Questo giorno nella storia*

Brillamenti solari
12015M6.75
21998M3.34
32013M2.36
42013M1.97
52001M1.69
DstG
12002-67
22000-62G2
31989-60
42014-57
51982-53G1
*dal 1994

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