Перегляд архіву неділя, 3 червня 2018

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Випущено: 2018 Jun 03 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Сонячні спалахи

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Сонячні протони

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
03 Jun 2018	073	014
04 Jun 2018	073	011
05 Jun 2018	073	007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 2712 showed decay and is now a beta region again, but is has still produced several B flares in the past 24 hours. The brightest flare was a B7.7 flare peaking at 7:55 UT on June 3. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 25%, mainly from NOAA AR 2712.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed as observed by DSCOVR fluctuated between about 570 km/s and 740 km/s, with current values around 700 km/s. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed towards the Sun, and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 8 nT, with current values around 3 nT. There were no extended periods with Bz smaller than -5 nT. Continued enhanced solar wind conditions are expected on June 3.

Quiet to active conditions (K Dourbes between 2 and 4; NOAA Kp between 1 and 4) were registered in the past 24 hours. Active geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes = 4) are possible on June 3 due to the ongoing effects of the high speed stream associated with an equatorial coronal hole, with a chance for minor storm intervals (K Dourbes = 5). On June 4 and 5, a return to quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels is expected (K Dourbes < 4), with a chance for active intervals (K Dourbes = 4) in the first half of June 4.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 014, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 02 Jun 2018

Wolf number Catania	///
10cm solar flux	074
AK Chambon La Forêt	025
AK Wingst	018
Estimated Ap	020
Estimated international sunspot number	024 - Based on 26 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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