Välja antud: 2013 Jan 15 1201 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
15 Jan 2013 | 150 | 001 |
16 Jan 2013 | 145 | 001 |
17 Jan 2013 | 140 | 001 |
Solar activity has become less active in the last 24 hours with the decay of NOAA AR 1652. There were several C flares coming from both NOAA AR 1652 and 1654 with the strongest one a C3.4 flare from NOAA AR 1654 peaking at 15:46 UT. C flaring is still likely to occur especially from NOAA AR 1654 with a small chance for an M-flare. There was a filament eruption in the South-West region around 7:15 UT associated with a CME, but it is unlikely to become geo-effective. An increase of the electron levels (especially 0.8 MeV) has been detected since January 14th 06:30 UT and has reached a maximum level of almost 50000 pfu since January 14th 15:00 UT and this level has been maintained until now. Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so for the next 48 hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 077, based on 04 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 154 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Estimated Ap | 009 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 085 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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