Välja antud: 2013 Jan 26 1253 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 Jan 2013 | 099 | 013 |
27 Jan 2013 | 097 | 017 |
28 Jan 2013 | 099 | 005 |
Catania sunspot groups 70 and 72 (NOAA ARs 1660 and 1661 respectively), as well as yet unnumbered sunspot group that emerged close to the east limb yesterday evening, have a potential to produce a C-class flare. Three flares stronger than B5 were produced in Catania sunspot groups 70 and 72 during the last 24 hours. A C-class flare is therefore possible. The Earth is currently inside a fast (around 500 km/s) solar wind flow with elevated (around 10 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. Active geomagnetic conditions (K = 4) were reported by NOAA and IZMIRAN, and unsettled conditions (K = 3) were reported by Dourbes. More intervals of active geomagnetic conditions are possible, especially after the arrival of the ICME-driven shock that is expected late today - early tomorrow.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 042, based on 07 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 101 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 020 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 032 - Based on 13 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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