Välja antud: 2013 Mar 15 1105 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Minor geomagnetic storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
15 Mar 2013 | 125 | 015 |
16 Mar 2013 | 126 | 009 |
17 Mar 2013 | 127 | 004 |
Solar activity featured one M1.2 flare originating from NOAA 1692 on March 15th 07:00 UT. Activity is expected to remain eruptive for the next 24 hours. A full halo CME was detected by SOHO LASCO C2 on Friday, March 15th at 07:12 UT which was a result of the above mentioned M1.2 flare. This CME has an angular width of almost 360 degrees and an estimated speed of 710 km/s. Estimated arrival on Earth is Monday, March 18th around 13:00 UT. Solar wind speed has increased to around 450 km/s and interplanetary magnetic field Bz component is around 5 nT. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to moderate, but is expected to increase to active or storm conditions this evening with the arrival of the CME seen in SOHO LASCO C2 Tuesday, March 12th at 11:00 UT.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 085, based on 03 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 123 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 086 - Based on 21 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA |
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Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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