Välja antud: 2013 Jul 10 1217 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
10 Jul 2013 | 120 | 019 |
11 Jul 2013 | 124 | 007 |
12 Jul 2013 | 124 | 003 |
Solar flaring activity mainly originated from Catania sunspot group 26 (NOAA AR 1787), featuring 3 C-class flares in the past 24 hours. The C4.9 flare at 6h40 UT on the 10th was the largest one. For the next 48 hours C-flaring activity is expected to continue, with Catania sunspot groups 24 and 26 (NOAA AR 1785 and 1787) as main source candidates. LASCO/C2 detected a halo CME at 15h24 UT on the 9th. It was associated with a broad filament eruption (NE to SW oriented) in the northern hemisphere. The CME is travelling with an estimated speed of 440 km/s and is expected to arrive at Earth on the 13th around 13h UT. A shock in the solar wind speed was observed at 20h UT on the 9th. Solar wind speed currently is at 440 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field is around 10 nT, with a mainly negative z-component. Geomagnetic conditions are unsettled to active and are expected to remain so for the next few hours, before returning to quiet conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 054, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 125 |
10cm solar flux | 120 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 027 |
AK Wingst | 015 |
Estimated Ap | 012 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 074 - Based on 27 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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