Välja antud: 2013 Sep 02 1300 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
02 Sep 2013 | 104 | 011 |
03 Sep 2013 | 104 | 012 |
04 Sep 2013 | 104 | 015 |
Solar activity has been eruptive during the past 24 hours, featuring one C1.7 flare from NOAA AR 11834 peaking at 14:20 UT. More C flares from NOAA AR 11834 and 11836 are likely within the next 48 hours, with a slight chance for an M flare. Solar wind speed rose from about 460 to 580 km/s around 6h UT on September 1, possibly due to the effects of the CME of August 30. Solar wind speeds later decreased to about 430 km/s and climbed to a peak of 520 km/s around 3h UT on September 2. Current wind speed lies around 420 km/s. Meanwhile, the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 2 and 6 nT. Solar wind may experience the influence of a small Coronal Hole on September 4. The geomagnetic activity was at quiet levels (K Dourbes between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 2 and 3) during the past 24 hours. Quiet conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected for September 2 and 3. Quiet to active conditions are possible on September 4, due to the effects of a Coronal Hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 058, based on 11 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 104 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 017 |
AK Wingst | 012 |
Estimated Ap | 012 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 052 - Based on 19 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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