Vaata kolmapäev, 6 november 2013 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2013 Nov 06 1246 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 06 Nov 2013 until 08 Nov 2013
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

10cm fluxAp
06 Nov 2013151009
07 Nov 2013154005
08 Nov 2013157006

Bulletin

Since the X3.3 flare yesterday, the NOAA AR 1890 (no Catania number yet) produced only C-class flares, the strongest one being the C8.6 flare peaking at 08:51 UT today. Nevertheless, this active region still keeps the beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. We expect further strong flaring from this region, primarily on the M-level. Another X-class flare is also probable. Given that the NOAA AR 1890 is approaching the solar central meridian, we maintain the warning condition for a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 350 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 088, based on 04 stations.

Solar indices for 05 Nov 2013

Wolf number Catania///
10cm solar flux149
AK Chambon La Forêt007
AK Wingst004
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number088 - Based on 09 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
05180818131817----M1.0110--/----III/2
05220722122215S12E46X3.31B400--/1890III/3V/3II/3IV/1

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

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