Välja antud: 2013 Nov 15 1638 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
15 Nov 2013 | 170 | 014 |
16 Nov 2013 | 169 | 014 |
17 Nov 2013 | 168 | 010 |
The strongest flare observed during last 24 hours was M1.0 flare (peaked at 02:33 UT, on November 15), originating from the NOAA AR 1899. We expect C-class flares and possibly also M-class flares in the coming hours. The solar wind speed is about 350 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is 4 nT. The Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field is fluctuating about -4nT during last 12 hours what might result in the unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions. The arrival of the fast flow associated with the low-latitude coronal hole in the northern hemisphere is expected to result at most in active geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 115, based on 09 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | /// |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 136 - Based on 12 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | 0220 | 0229 | 0233 | N07E52 | M1.0 | SF | 46/1899 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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