Välja antud: 2013 Dec 11 1302 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
11 Dec 2013 | 175 | 005 |
12 Dec 2013 | 175 | 007 |
13 Dec 2013 | 175 | 007 |
The Sun is still in a C-flaring mood. It is almost sure that more C-flares will happen. The probability for M-flaring activity is estimated around 40%. There are 9 active regions on the solar disk. Several of them are magnetically connected. NOAA AR 1922 (Catania 74) has grown from nothing to a beta-gamma configuration. A partial halo CME was detected on Dec 9, around 21UT. The source region was located in the North-East. We don't expect this CME to be geoeffective. A recurrent large coronal hole in the northern hemisphere reached the central meridian. It caused previous rotation a Kp of 4. Geomagnetic disturbances are excepted on December 14.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 124, based on 14 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 209 |
10cm solar flux | 175 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
AK Wingst | 003 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 129 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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