Välja antud: 2013 Dec 28 1223 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
28 Dec 2013 | 133 | 001 |
29 Dec 2013 | 133 | 001 |
30 Dec 2013 | 133 | 005 |
There were six C flares on the Sun during the past 24 hours. The brightest one was a C2.3 flare released by NOAA AR 11934, which peaked at 23:36 UT on December 27. Since AR 11934 and 11936 are still showing flux emergence, the probability for C flares over the next 48 hours is high (around 90%) and for M flares around 25%. Over the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed as observed by ACE gradually decreased from about 310 km/s to about 280 km/s. Around 18h UT on December 27, the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field dropped suddenly from about 8 nT to about 3 nT. A continuation of nominal solar wind conditions is expected on December 28-30. Geomagnetic activity has been quiet over the past 24 hours (NOAA Kp between 0 and 2). Quiet geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 28, 29, and 30, with a slight chance of active conditions (K Dourbes = 4) in the first half of December 30 (in case the Earth suffers a glancing blow from the CME first observed by LASCO C2 at 7:36 UT on December 26).
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 066, põhineb 17 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 131 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 005 |
AK Wingst | 002 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 002 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 077 - Põhineb 13 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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