Välja antud: 2014 Jan 16 1238 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Jan 2014 | 126 | 005 |
17 Jan 2014 | 124 | 006 |
18 Jan 2014 | 120 | 011 |
The only C-class flare reported in last 24 hours was the C1.1 flare which peaked at 06:22 on January 16. The flare originated from the active region at the East solar limb and was associated with narrow CME (about 40 degrees) which is not Earth directed. The low C-class flares are probable in the following 24 hours. The Earth is currently inside a slow solar wind with a speed of about 400 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field is still stable with the magnitude between 2 and 3 nT. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so in the following 24 hours. The glancing blow from the CME-driven shock wave, associated with the partial halo CME first seen in the SOHO/LASCO C2 field of view at 09:36 UT on January 14, is expected to arrive at the Earth on January 18. It may cause unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 066, based on 04 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 126 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 006 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 066 - Based on 10 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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