Välja antud: 2014 Feb 23 1335 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
23 Feb 2014 | 163 | 021 |
24 Feb 2014 | 169 | 019 |
25 Feb 2014 | 174 | 007 |
Solar activity has been dominated by NOAA AR 1982 with several C-class flares and by recurrent AR NOAA 1967 slightly behind the east limb. This AR produced a long duration M1.0 flare with peak at 06:10 UT, related to a non-Earth directed CME. A second partial halo came from this AR at 16:00 UT on February 22, also not expected to affect the Earth. As this region rotates into view in next 24 - 48 h solar activity is expected to increase. A third partial halo CME was seen at 12:12 UT on February 22 by LASCO-C2, this one corresponded to a backside filament eruption in the south, not Earth directed. A weak transient arrived to ACE around 02:30 UT related most likely to the CMEs of February 20. Bz has been positive until now (with IMF magnitude close to 12 nT), with solar wind speeds close to 500 km/s, which led to only unsettled conditions so far. The situation may change in the next 24h if Bz turns negative. A small coronal hole could have also an effect on the geomagnetic conditions by February 24.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 110, põhineb 11 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 163 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 015 |
AK Wingst | 013 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 014 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 103 - Põhineb 16 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | 0550 | 0610 | 0636 | ---- | M1.1 | --/---- |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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