Välja antud: 2014 Mar 20 1303 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
20 Mar 2014 | 150 | 007 |
21 Mar 2014 | 150 | 006 |
22 Mar 2014 | 150 | 006 |
NOAA AR 2010 produced today, March 20 an M1.7 flare with peak at 03:56UT. A type II outburst was detected. PROBA2 SWAP running difference images shows the coronal footprint of a CME which has only a faint appearance in COR2/STEREO B, not in LASCO/SOHO. NOAA AR 2014 rotated over the east limb and was the source of a C8.3 flare and a plasma eruption. We expect more activity from this region. We estimate a chance for more M-flares to be slightly above 50%. The solar wind speed is still below 400 km/s. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet. A small equatorial coronal hole is situated near the central meridian. It might become geoeffective in 3-4 days.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 091, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 183 |
10cm solar flux | 149 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 097 - Based on 27 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | 0342 | 0356 | 0408 | S14E35 | M1.7 | 1F | 86/2010 | II/1III/1 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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