Vaata kolmapäev, 22 oktoober 2014 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2014 Oct 22 1246 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

Major flares expected (X-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)

	10 cm vool	Ap
22 Oct 2014	204	011
23 Oct 2014	208	011
24 Oct 2014	210	011

Bülletään

Three M-class flares were detected in the past 24 hours, all of them produced by the Catania sunspot group 88 (NOAA AR 2192). The strongest flare was the M8.7 flare peaking at 01:59 UT. Based on the still incomplete SOHO/LASCO data and the absence of conspicuous eruptive signatures in the SDO/AIA data, we conclude that there was no CME associated with this flare. We expect flaring activity mostly on the M-level in this group, with a good chance for an X-class flare. As the Catania sunspot group 88 approaches the solar central meridian, a major eruption in this active region may lead to a geoeffective CME and a proton event. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 460 km/s) solar wind flow with average (around 5 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are quiet and are expected to remain so.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 095, põhineb 10 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 21 Oct 2014

Catania Wolfi number	151
10cm päikesevoog	199
AK Chambon La Forêt	028
AK Wingst	017
Hinnanguline Ap	017
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv	082 - Põhineb 16 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

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