Välja antud: 2014 Nov 07 1230 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
07 Nov 2014 | 137 | 006 |
08 Nov 2014 | 138 | 007 |
09 Nov 2014 | 139 | 007 |
NOAA AR 2205 continued to produce M level flares, although all four were below M3 level. The strongest was an M2.7 flare peaking at 2:49 UT followed by an M2 flare at 4:25 UT. The corresponding CME was weak and not Earth directed. Flaring at M level is expected to continue with a slight chance for an X flare. Solar wind speed was nominal and slightly decreasing from values around 470 km/s level to values around 450 km/s. Total magnetic field initially decreased below the 6nT level, but following a sector boundary crossing from a negative into a positive sector around 00:30 UT, it became more variable and increased again reaching levels close to 9nT currently, while returning to a negative sector. Bz was mostly positive or neutral but had some excursions down to -6nT before and after the sector boundary crossing. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (both NOAA Kp and local K Dourbes 1-3). Nominal solar wind conditions are expected to continue with associated quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 075, based on 05 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 136 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 009 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 077 - Based on 17 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06 | 2153 | 2216 | 2234 | N14E45 | M2.5 | 1N | 200 | --/2205 | III/2 |
07 | 0205 | 0249 | 0332 | N17E50 | M2.7 | 2N | --/2205 | VI/1 | |
07 | 0412 | 0425 | 0438 | ---- | M2.0 | --/2205 | |||
07 | 1013 | 1022 | 1030 | N15E43 | M1.0 | SF | --/2205 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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