Välja antud: 2014 Nov 21 1204 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
21 Nov 2014 | 170 | 015 |
22 Nov 2014 | 172 | 015 |
23 Nov 2014 | 174 | 016 |
Six C-class flares were detected on the Sun in the past 24 hours: four in the NOAA AR 2209 and two in the NOAA AR 2216. The strongest flare was the C2.5 flare peaking at 19:56 UT yesterday in the NOAA AR 2209. It was not associated with a CME. The NOAA AR 2209 maintains the beta-gamma- delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field, so we expect flaring activity on the C-level from this region as well as from the NOAA AR 2216, with an isolated M-class flare possible but unlikely. A long filament in the northern hemisphere is approaching the solar central meridian. Its eruption may lead to an Earth-directed CME. The Earth is currently inside a slow (around 380 km/s) solar wind flow with slightly elevated (7-8 nT) interplanetary magnetic field magnitude. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to stay at the quiet to unsettled level (K < 4) with isolated intervals of active conditions (K = 4).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 046, based on 11 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 121 |
10cm solar flux | 168 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
AK Wingst | 016 |
Estimated Ap | 013 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 045 - Based on 18 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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