Välja antud: 2014 Dec 26 1209 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 Dec 2014 | 138 | 016 |
27 Dec 2014 | 130 | 011 |
28 Dec 2014 | 130 | 009 |
Only a handful (mainly) lower C-class flares erupted during the past 24 hours, while the background of the Xray flux is at the higher B-level. The main event was a C4.3 flare, originating from Catania sunspot region 46 (NOAA active region 2448). NOAA 2249 (no Catania number yet) is the other region that is producing some flares. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Flaring at the C-level is expected to continue. Earth is inside a stable solar wind, with a speed near 450 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field obtains values between 7 and 10 nT, with a mainly negative Bz component till -9 nT. Geomagnetic activity reached active levels (K=4) at local (at Dourbes) and global levels (NOAA estimated Kp). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected, with some chance for active conditions, due to effects of a coronal hole high speed stream.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 064, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 145 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 026 |
AK Wingst | 013 |
Estimated Ap | 013 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 069 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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