Vaata teisipäev, 3 veebruar 2015 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2015 Feb 03 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 03 Feb 2015 until 05 Feb 2015
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
03 Feb 2015144010
04 Feb 2015146007
05 Feb 2015149007

Bulletin

Solar activity was low. Only some low level C class flares were reported with the largest event a C3.9 flare from NOAA 2277 (Catania 78, 79) peaking at 10:53 UT. NOAA 2268 (Catania 73, 74), Catania 80 (now numbered NOAA 2279) and the new region in the east: Catania 82 (NOAA 2280) all contributed to the other C flares. We expect some further low level C flaring with still a chance for an isolated M flare from NOAA 2277. No obvious CMEs were recorded. Earth was under the influence of a steady high speed stream. Solar wind speed was largely in the 600 to 740 km/s range with on average a slow decrease over the period. Since 7:00 UT the decrease of the solar wind speed is more pronounced with currently values of around 560 km/s. The total magnetic field was mainly in the 3 to 6 nT range. Bz was variable with negative peaks not below -5.5nT. High speed stream conditions are expected to further decline to nominal wind conditions over the next 24 hours. Active geomagnetic conditions with locally an isolated episode of minor geomagnetic storm conditions were reported (NOAA Kp 2-4, local KDourbes 2-5) under the influence of the high speed stream. With the decline of the high speed stream influence quiet unsettled geomagnetic conditions are expected with initially still a chance for a active conditions.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 061, based on 09 stations.

Solar indices for 02 Feb 2015

Wolf number Catania157
10cm solar flux144
AK Chambon La Forêt040
AK Wingst026
Estimated Ap029
Estimated international sunspot number073 - Based on 18 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Puuduvad

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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