Välja antud: 2015 Mar 06 1223 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
06 Mar 2015 | 142 | 011 |
07 Mar 2015 | 148 | 021 |
08 Mar 2015 | 152 | 016 |
The active region that is just starting to round the southeast limb was the source of 3 M-class flares during the period. The strongest event was an M3 flare peaking at 04:57UT. It was followed by an M1.5 flare peaking at 08:15UT. A partial halo coronal mass ejection (CME) with an estimated plane-of-the-sky speed of about 600 km/s was associated to the latter event. First seen by CACTus in LASCO/C2 imagery at 07:12UT, the bulk of the CME is directed away from Earth. Based on current imagery, the CME does not seem to have an earth-directed component. NOAA 2292 produced a complex C3 flare (around 17:20UT) while rounding the southwest limb. NOAA 2293 and three other puny sunspot groups were quiet. No earth-directed CMEs were observed. Proton flux was at nominal levels. M-class flaring is expected, with a good chance on an X-class event. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions were observed, with Kp reaching active levels by the end of the period. Solar wind speed varied mostly between 400 and 500 km/s, Bz varied mostly between -7 and +8 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field was mostly directed away from the Sun. Quiet to active geomagnetic conditions are expected, with the anticipated arrival of the high speed stream from a coronal hole around 07 March.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 022, põhineb 09 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 130 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 007 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 007 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 021 - Põhineb 20 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05 | 1706 | 1811 | 1826 | ---- | M1.2 | --/---- | |||
06 | 0414 | 0457 | 0527 | ---- | M3.0 | 120 | --/---- | III/1 | |
06 | 0655 | 0815 | 0828 | ---- | M1.5 | --/---- | CTM/1 |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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