Välja antud: 2015 Apr 14 1238 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
14 Apr 2015 | 148 | 011 |
15 Apr 2015 | 153 | 014 |
16 Apr 2015 | 158 | 010 |
Only few low C-class flares were reported during last 24 hours, despite the presence of the complex active region NOAA AR 2321 which maintains beta-gamma-delta configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. The strongest reported flare was the C2.9 flare which peaked at 23:23 UT on April 13. The flare originated from the Catania sunspot group 22 (NOAA AR 2320), situated at that moment at the west solar limb. In the coming hours we expect C-class and also possibly M-class flares, in particular from the Catania sunspot groups 29, 30 and 31 (all together classified as NOAA AR 2321). Full halo CME, first seen in the SOHO LASCO C2 field of view at 02:36 UT on April 14 had no visible on-disc signatures, but it had the associated coronal dimming visible above the solar limb. All this indicates that the CME was the back side event and will therefore not arrive at the Earth. Solar wind speed as well as the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude and temperature started to increase since 05:00 UT this morning indicating possible arrival of the fast solar wind associated with the extended southern polar coronal hole. However, presently the solar wind speed is still slow, having value of about 350 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is about 8 nT. The partial halo CME, first seen in the SOHO LASCO C2 field of view at 23:36 UT on April 12 might arrive at the Earth in the late evening of the April 15 or early morning of April 16. We do not expect strongly disturbed geomagnetic conditions (K index maximum 4) due to the slow speed of the CME. The geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet. The arrival of the fast flow might cause unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 077, based on 19 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 137 |
10cm solar flux | 141 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 007 |
AK Wingst | 006 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 076 - Based on 28 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2025 | X1.1 |
Viimane M-loide | 01/04/2025 | M2.5 |
Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 27/03/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
Plekivabasid päevi | |
---|---|
Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
---|---|
veebruar 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
aprill 2025 | 152.5 -2.1 |
Viimased 30 päeva | 130.6 -15.9 |