Välja antud: 2015 Apr 30 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Apr 2015 | 106 | 017 |
01 May 2015 | 110 | 008 |
02 May 2015 | 114 | 008 |
The solar disk currently is almost spotless. One single C1.0 flare occurred at the southwest limb. A faint CME was visible, with first measurement in SOHO/LASCO-C2 at 2:24 UT on April 30, related to backside activity and propagating north. There is some chance (40%) for further C-class flares. Solar wind observations indicate the arrival of a flow related to a positive polarity coronal hole. Around 4:00 UT on April 30, temperature and solar wind speed increased (currently at 370 km/s), while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) became more variable and increased to 12 nT. The south component of the IMF is fluctuating between -6 and +8nT. Quiet to unsettled (local K=0 to 3 at Dourbes) geomagnetic conditions were observed. Mainly quiet geomagnetic conditions are expected, with some chance for a few time slots of active (K=4) to minor storm (K=5) conditions within the next 24 hours. Another flow emanating from the extension of a negative polarity northern coronal hole could arrive on May 2.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 011, based on 23 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 036 |
10cm solar flux | 104 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 011 |
AK Wingst | 004 |
Estimated Ap | 003 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 020 - Based on 26 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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