Välja antud: 2015 May 02 1230 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
02 May 2015 | 105 | 010 |
03 May 2015 | 110 | 011 |
04 May 2015 | 115 | 011 |
Flaring activity was very low. A few rather narrow CMEs were observed in SOHO/LASCO C2 images, but all seem to have no Earth-directed component. One CME (first measurement at 22:24 UT) was related to activity at the West limb, while another one (first measurement at 7:48 UT) was due to an eruption at the East limb. H alpha images indicate that a few filaments, located in the southern hemisphere, are getting unstable and might erupt in the next few days. Flaring at the C-level is possible (chance of 30%). Solar wind speed is in the 400-500 km/s range. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) is between 8 and 13 nT. The quiet to unsettled (K=0 to 3) geomagnetic conditions are expected to continue, with some chance for geomagnetic active levels (K=4).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 020, based on 15 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 100 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 005 |
Estimated Ap | 005 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 015 - Based on 19 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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