Välja antud: 2015 Jun 25 1230 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Major magstorm expected (A>=50 or K>=6)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
25 Jun 2015 | 110 | 047 |
26 Jun 2015 | 108 | 032 |
27 Jun 2015 | 102 | 019 |
NOAA AR 2371 produced an M7.9 flare peaking at 08:16 UT. A full halo CME with speeds up to 1600 km/s was associated with the flare. An arrival of this CME to Earth is likely and expected for June 26 around 16:00 UT, severe storm conditions may occur. A shock-like structure arrived to ACE at 12:56 UT on June 24, marking the expected arrival of the CME from June 22. Solar wind speed jumped to 750 km/s and the interplanetary magnetic field to 12 nT. Geomagnetic conditions reached major storm levels on June 25 at planetary levels, and minor storm conditions locally (Kp=6 and K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 022, based on 22 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 110 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 021 |
AK Wingst | 016 |
Estimated Ap | 018 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 027 - Based on 27 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | 0802 | 0816 | 0905 | N11W41 | M7.9 | 3B | 2900 | 92/2371 | IV/1II/1 |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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