Välja antud: 2015 Oct 04 1234 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Warning condition (activity levels expected to increase, but no numeric forecast given)
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
04 Oct 2015 | 090 | 016 |
05 Oct 2015 | 080 | 017 |
06 Oct 2015 | 080 | 007 |
During the past period, there were only three active regions on the solar disk. Four lower C-class flares and one M1.0 (peaking at 2:41 UT on October 4) flare were observed. The M1 flare originated from NOAA 2422, though being almost completely behind the West limb. NOAA 2427 now is a beta-gamma region, though it did not produce any significant flares the past 24 hours. Flaring activity at the C-level is expected. An extended equatorial positive polarity coronal hole has reached the central meridian and will be geo-effective within about 3 days.
Solar wind observations show a slight increase in speed (up to 500 km/s) and temperature from 15 UT October 4 on. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was maximally around 10 nT, with a mainly negative Bz component. Solar wind is expected to remain slightly disturbed and possibly indicate the arrival of a glancing blow related to the September 30 CME later today. Geomagnetic conditions were unsettled at the local level (Dourbes K=3) and active (NOAA Kp=4 at 3-6 UT) to even minor storm (NOAA Kp=5 at 9 UT) levels at the planetary level. Geomagnetic activity could be at to active or minor storm conditions during the next 24 hours.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 021, põhineb 10 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 097 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 020 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 009 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 046 - Põhineb 12 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04 | 0234 | 0241 | 0248 | ---- | M1.0 | --/2422 |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2025 | X1.1 |
Viimane M-loide | 22/04/2025 | M1.3 |
Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 21/04/2025 | Kp5+ (G1) |
Plekivabasid päevi | |
---|---|
Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
---|---|
märts 2025 | 134.2 -20.4 |
aprill 2025 | 121 -13.2 |
Viimased 30 päeva | 113 -27.2 |