Välja antud: 2015 Oct 21 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
21 Oct 2015 | 124 | 019 |
22 Oct 2015 | 122 | 016 |
23 Oct 2015 | 120 | 008 |
Five C-class flares occurred during the past period, with NOAA active region 2436 as the main responsible source location. The strongest event was a C6.3 flare peaking at 4:34 UT on October 21. NOAA AR 2436 has developed a delta component in its trailing part. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed. Flaring at the C-level is expected, with an increased chance for an isolated M-class flare, especially from NOAA AR 2436.
The solar wind speed was relatively stable with values below 400 km/s, until about 9 UT. Since 9 UT, the solar wind speed and temperature gradually have increased and the speed reached a maximum of 480 km/s. The magnitude of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) went to 13 nT with a fluctuating Bz component between -9 and 11 nT. This is indicative for the start of the expected flow from the equatorial coronal hole. Currently geomagnetic conditions are quiet (K<3) to unsettled (K=3). Up to geomagnetic active (K=4) conditions are expected in the next 24 hours.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 084, põhineb 09 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 123 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 016 |
AK Wingst | 014 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 012 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 094 - Põhineb 19 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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