Välja antud: 2015 Nov 23 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
23 Nov 2015 | 125 | 006 |
24 Nov 2015 | 127 | 007 |
25 Nov 2015 | 129 | 019 |
Beta-gamma region NOAA AR 2454 produced seven C flares during the past 24 hours. The brightest flare peaked around 2:28 UT on November 23 at C8.7 level. C flares are expected within the next 24 hours, with a 30% chance for an M flare, especially from AR 2454. A CME associated with a filament eruption in the Southwest was first observed by LASCO C2 around 9:12 UT on November 22. Imagery from LASCO C2 and C3 and COR2A suggests that this CME is not Earthbound. The Earth is currently within a slow solar wind regime. Solar wind speed varied between 320 and 360 km/s in the past 24 hours, while the magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field first ranged between 1 and 5 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 0 and 1). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on November 23 and 24. The expected arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream may cause active (K Dourbes = 4) geomagnetic levels on November 25, with a slight chance for a minor storm (K Dourbes = 5).
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 054, based on 21 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 123 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 004 |
AK Wingst | 002 |
Estimated Ap | 001 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 072 - Based on 21 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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