Välja antud: 2015 Dec 18 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
18 Dec 2015 | 116 | 006 |
19 Dec 2015 | 114 | 027 |
20 Dec 2015 | 112 | 010 |
The Sun produced 3 C flares in the past 24 hours. The brightest flare was a C4.6 flare released by NOAA AR 2469 which peaked at 05:09 UT on December 18. C flares are possible within the next 24 hours, with a chance for an M flare. During the past 24 hours, the solar wind speed gradually decreased from about 470 to 400 km/s with intermittent peaks up to 550 km/s. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field varied between 1 and 8 nT. During the past 24 hours, quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels were registered (K Dourbes between 1 and 3, NOAA Kp between 1 and 4). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on December 18. Due to the expected arrival of the December 16 CMEs, active to minor storm conditions (K Dourbes = 4-5) are expected on December 19, with a chance for moderate to major storm conditions (K Dourbes = 6-7). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels are expected on December 20, with a chance for active (K Dourbes = 4) excursions.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 047, based on 07 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 078 |
10cm solar flux | 118 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 011 |
Estimated Ap | 009 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 053 - Based on 22 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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