Välja antud: 2015 Dec 26 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
26 Dec 2015 | 124 | 007 |
27 Dec 2015 | 124 | 007 |
28 Dec 2015 | 124 | 007 |
Flaring activity in the past 24 hours reached only the B-class level. The most dynamic active region on the disk is NOAA AR 2473 (beta- gamma, Catania nr 5). As this active region is increasing in shear and complexity, we expect a return to C-class flaring with 40% chance for an M-class flare. A smaller chance for C-class flaring is also possible from AR 2472 (beta, Catania nr 4). The Earth is currently inside a solar wind flow with an intermediate speed (around 550 km/s). The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude is average(5-6 nT). These conditions are expected to persist in the coming 48 hours, geomagnetic activity is expected to remain below Kp=4.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 057, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 126 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | /// |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 008 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 080 - Based on 13 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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