Välja antud: 2016 Apr 16 1232 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Apr 2016 | 115 | 006 |
17 Apr 2016 | 115 | 007 |
18 Apr 2016 | 115 | 013 |
NOAA AR 2529 is now a beta-gamma region and released one C flare in the past 24 hours: a C4.1 flare which peaked at 14:30 UT on April 15. More C flares (probability 75%) are expected in the next 24 hours, with a slight chance (probability 15%) for an M flare, especially from AR 2529. Solar wind speed was near 360 km/s until around 04:30 UT on April 16, when it started rising till it reached a plateau of about 440 km/s around 05:30 UT. The magnitude of the Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) varied between 2 and 11 nT. Over the past 24 hours, geomagnetic conditions have been quiet to unsettled (K Dourbes between 0 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3). Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on April 16, 17 and the first half of April 18. Active to minor storm periods are possible in the second half of April 18, when a high speed stream associated with a positive coronal hole is expected to arrive.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 046, based on 16 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 073 |
10cm solar flux | 112 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 010 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Estimated Ap | 010 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 047 - Based on 23 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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