Välja antud: 2016 Jul 08 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Minor storm expected (A>=30 or K=5)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
08 Jul 2016 | 090 | 028 |
09 Jul 2016 | 095 | 010 |
10 Jul 2016 | 100 | 010 |
Three new active regions turned to the front side of the solar disk. Catania number 6 (no NOAA number yet), located near N10E90, did produce a C2.7 flare, peaking at 0:56 UT. The other regions Catania number 4 and 5 (NOAA AR 2562) did not create any flaring. Flaring activity at the C-level is expected, especially from Catania number 6, which produced several flares while being on the backside. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
Solar wind observations of ACE do indicate the arrival of a high speed stream (HSS) emanating from the positive polarity elongated coronal hole (currently stretching N0W60 to N40W10). The solar wind speed has obtained values above 600 km/s, while the magnetic field magnitude peaked at above 15 nT, with a fluctuating north-south component. Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels (K=4, locally at Dourbes, and globally for Kp at Potzdam) and even storm levels (K=5, NOAA estimated global Kp). Geomagnetic disturbances are expected at active to storm levels for at least the next 24 hours, before returning to quiet levels. In addition, another large coronal hole (closely following the prior one) is about to cross the central meridian, increasing chances for more activity within about 3 days.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 040, põhineb 17 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | 053 |
10cm päikesevoog | 083 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 034 |
AK Wingst | 026 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 026 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 026 - Põhineb 32 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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