Välja antud: 2016 Oct 30 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
30 Oct 2016 | 079 | 016 |
31 Oct 2016 | 081 | 013 |
01 Nov 2016 | 083 | 008 |
A B2 flare peaking at 23:05UT was most likely associated with an eruptive event from NOAA 2603 from behind the northwest solar limb. The related CME was not earth-directed. NOAA 2604 (Catania 50) is decaying, while old active region NOAA 2599 is rounding the southeast limb, currently as a spotless faculae area. No earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed.
Quiet flaring conditions are expected to continue, with a small chance on an isolated C-class flare.
Earth remained under the influence of the high speed stream (HSS) from the huge coronal hole (CH). Solar wind speed ranged from 550 to 670 km/s (DSCOVR), and is currently hovering around 550 km/s (ACE). Bz oscillated mostly between -6 and +6 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) was directed away from the Sun (positive). Kp ranged from unsettled to active conditions, while K Dourbes ranged from quiet to unsettled conditions.
The geo-environment is expected to remain under the gradually weakening influence of the CH HSS. Quiet to active conditions are expected.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 013, põhineb 19 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 079 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 031 |
AK Wingst | 022 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 026 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 024 - Põhineb 31 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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