Välja antud: 2017 Jul 12 1259 UTC
M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Jul 2017 | 091 | 003 |
13 Jul 2017 | 090 | 004 |
14 Jul 2017 | 091 | 012 |
Solar activity was low with NOAA AR region 2665 (Catania group 36) producing B and C class flares. The strongest C1.2 flare was peaking at 20:31UT yesterday. The group evolved into a Beta-Gamma configuration, however it's magnetic complexity decreased during the period. Few slow and narrow (not Earth directed CMEs) were detected by Cactus during the past 24 hours. A small negative polarity southern coronal hole may create enhanced solar wind conditions on the day 3 (14-Jul-2017). Solar proton flux values are at background levels and expected to remain so. More C-class flares can be expected (and less likely M-flares). Solar wind parameters reflected a fainting influence of a high speed stream from an equatorial coronal hole. Total magnetic field remained below 5 nT, while Bz component was fluctuating between +/-3 nT over the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed gradually decreased from 620 km/s till 510 km/s. Geomagnetic conditions were very quiet. Planetary index Kp decreased from 2 to 1, while the local K index (Dourbes) was fluctuating between 1 and 3 over the past 24 hours. The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels today and tomorrow, while on the day 3 (14-Jul-2017) active geomagnetic conditions can be expected due to the influence of a small negative polarity southern coronal hole.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 062, põhineb 21 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | 041 |
10cm päikesevoog | 091 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 014 |
AK Wingst | 010 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 011 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 039 - Põhineb 29 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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