Välja antud: 2017 Sep 16 1355 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
16 Sep 2017 | 070 | 022 |
17 Sep 2017 | 069 | 014 |
18 Sep 2017 | 068 | 009 |
Solar activity remains to be very low without even C-class flares reported during last 48 hours. We expect solar activity to stay at the same low level with isolated C-class flares possible but rather improbable. No Earth directed CMEs have been observed and the solar protons remained at background level in the past 24 hours.
The Earth is still inside the fast solar wind stream (speed of about 700 km/s), associated with a low-latitude extension of the northern polar coronal hole which reached central meridian on September 09. Due to the high solar wind speed of about 710 km/s and longer intervals of the southward Bz component of the interplanetary magnetic field (down to -7 nT) disturbed geomagnetic conditions were reported starting from yesterday late afternoon. The local station at Dourbes reported one interval of K=5 and NOAA reported Kp=5 since 18:00 UT on September 15 and one interval of Kp=6 at 03:00 UT this morning. Presently geomagnetic conditions are unsettled to active, however the solar wind speed is still high and longer intervals of southward Bz might induce active to minor storm conditions in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 015, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 012 |
10cm solar flux | 073 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 050 |
AK Wingst | 034 |
Estimated Ap | 040 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 013 - Based on 29 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
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