Välja antud: 2017 Sep 23 1234 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
23 Sep 2017 | 076 | 010 |
24 Sep 2017 | 079 | 022 |
25 Sep 2017 | 081 | 007 |
Over the past 24 hours the solar activity was very low, only a small B-class flare was recorded. Catania sunspot groups 56 (NOAA active regions 2681) remained stable showing no flaring activity. Catania sunspot group 55 (NOAA active region 2680) is currently turning over the west solar limb. The top of the loops from the returning region Catania sunspot group 46 (NOAA active region 2673), from which a B3.0-class flare (Sept 23 at 06:03 UT) is attributed, is now visible at the east solar limb. We expect the solar activity to increase due to this returning region with C-class flares. As this region was very active with several X-class flares during the previous solar rotation, we cannot exclude the possibility of M to X-class flares to occur. Once the foot-points of the loops will be visible, a better estimation of its magnetic complexity will be made and we will be able to better estimate the probability of flaring activity.
No Earth directed CMEs have been observed and the solar protons remained at background level over the past 24 hours.
The Earth remained inside a slow solar wind flow with de speed lower than 400 Km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude remained below 6 nT and the Bz component fluctuated between -4 and 4 nT being mainly negative. The associated fast solar wind to the small equatorial coronal hole that has crossed the central meridian on Sept 20 is expected to arrive at Earth today around midnight UT time.
Geomagnetic conditions were mostly quiet to unsettled with Kp (NOAA) and local K (Dourbes) indexes ranging between 1-2 and 0-3 respectively. While the solar wind remained in its nominal condition, the local K (Dourbs) sowed an unexpected short duration maximum (K=4) at 22:00 UT due to the Bz components being mostly negative. The geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled until Sept 23 when the fast solar will reach Earth.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 012, based on 21 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 022 |
10cm solar flux | 078 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 008 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 018 - Based on 29 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
Kõik ajad UTC-s
<< Mine igapäevase ülevaate lehele
Paljud inimesed külastavad SpaceWeatherLive lehte selleks, et jälgida, mis toimub Päikesel või, kas on oodata virmalisi. Suurema liiklusega on serveri koormus ning maksumus kõrgem. Kui sulle meeldib see, mida me sinu heaks teeme, siis saad sa sellele ka ise natukene kaasa aidata, annetades selle lehe käigus hoidmise ja arendamise heaks. Ette tänades SpeaceWeatherLive meeskond!
Viimane X-loide | 28/03/2025 | X1.1 |
Viimane M-loide | 01/04/2025 | M5.6 |
Viimane geomagnetiline torm | 27/03/2025 | Kp5 (G1) |
Plekivabasid päevi | |
---|---|
Viimane päikese plekivaba päev | 08/06/2022 |
Kuu keskmine päikeseplekkide arv | |
---|---|
veebruar 2025 | 154.6 +17.6 |
Viimased 30 päeva | 128.5 -22.7 |