Välja antud: 2017 Dec 24 1230 UTC
Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
24 Dec 2017 | 076 | 023 |
25 Dec 2017 | 076 | 031 |
26 Dec 2017 | 075 | 013 |
Solar activity was very low with X-ray flux remaining below B level, apart from a single B1 flare from the only region on disk (Catania group 67, NOAA active region 2692). There is a relatively small chance for C -flaring over the next days. Around 18:00 UT a filament eruption was visible in the North Eastern quadrant. Coronagraph images do not reveal any associated CME signatures. No Earth directed CMEs were recorded in coronagraph images. Proton flux levels are at background values and expected to remain so.
Solar wind showed the expected arrival of the high speed stream from the equatorial negative polarity coronal hole. Solar wind speed first increased to 400 km/s but then declined again in the afternoon of December 23. Since midnight it is increasing again to close to 500 km/s currently. Total magnetic field in the compression region measured mostly in the 9-12nT range with a peak of over 14.5nT around 7:20UT. The magnetic field Bz component was variable with excursions down to -9nT. Solar wind speed is expected to further increase and remain elevated over the next few days under influence of the coronal hole high speed stream. Geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (local K Dourbes 0-2 and NOAA Kp 0-3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be unsettled to active with minor geomagnetic storms possible under the influence of the high speed stream.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 026, põhineb 07 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 076 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 008 |
AK Wingst | 005 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 004 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 027 - Põhineb 12 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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