Vaata neljapäev, 11 oktoober 2018 arhiivi

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2018 Oct 11 1230 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 11 Oct 2018 until 13 Oct 2018
Päikesepursked ehk loited

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
11 Oct 2018070008
12 Oct 2018070007
13 Oct 2018070007

Bulletin

A new Active Region or plage is rotating around the East limb and has produced a B1.7 flare in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 3%.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

Solar wind speed near Earth as registered by DSCOVR varied between about 455 and 535 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) was predominantly directed away from the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 1 and 8 nT. Bz was below -5 nT around 16-17 UT and 18-19 UT on October 10.

Unsettled to minor storm geomagnetic conditions (K Dourbes between 3 and 5; NOAA Kp between 3 and 5) were registered in the past 24 hours. K Dourbes was equal to 5 between 18h and 24h UT on October 10, coinciding with a negative excursion of Bz. Quiet to unsettled levels (K Dourbes < 4) are expected on October 11, 12 and 13, with a chance for active intervals (K Dourbes = 4) on October 11.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 000, based on 11 stations.

Solar indices for 10 Oct 2018

Wolf number Catania000
10cm solar flux070
AK Chambon La Forêt029
AK Wingst017
Estimated Ap018
Estimated international sunspot number000 - Based on 32 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxLõppLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
Puuduvad

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

Kõik ajad UTC-s

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