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Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Välja antud: 2022 May 18 1232 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Päikesepursked ehk loited

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

	10cm flux	Ap
18 May 2022	174	008
19 May 2022	172	005
20 May 2022	170	005

Bulletin

Solar flaring activity was low during the last 24 hours, with numerous C-class flares originating from five different Active Regions (AR). NOAA AR 3006 (now behind the western solar limb) produced the brightest event, a C8 flare at 17 May 12:40 UT, while NOAA AR 3014 (Beta- Gamma configuration) was the most active with seven C-class flares. Numerous C-class flares are also expected in the next 24 hours, while an isolated M-class flare is still possible.

A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) automatically detected by CACTus at 17 May 17:36 UT is estimated to not be geo-effective.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux remained below the 1000 pfu alert threshold and is expected to remain below this threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so.

Geomagnetic conditions were globally and locally moderate (NOAA Kp 1-3 and K Dourbes 2-3). Geomagnetic conditions are expected to become quiet during the next 24 hours.

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions (as measured by the DSCOVR and ACE satellites) are currently in transition from a fast to a slow SW regime. The SW speed gradually dropped from 620 to 460 km/s in the last 24 hours. The total magnetic field dropped from 14 to 1 nT, while its Bz component varied between -6 and 5 nT during the last 24 hours. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was predominantly positive (directed away from the Sun) during the last 24 hours. The solar wind conditions are expected to gradually return to a slow wind regime in the next 24 hours.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 131, based on 20 stations.

Solar indices for 17 May 2022

Wolf number Catania	177
10cm solar flux	///
AK Chambon La Forêt	///
AK Wingst	///
Estimated Ap	///
Estimated international sunspot number	146 - Based on 27 stations

Noticeable events summary

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

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