Vaata teisipäev, 14 november 2023 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2023 Nov 14 1235 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

	10 cm vool	Ap
14 Nov 2023	134	016
15 Nov 2023	130	007
16 Nov 2023	124	007

Päikese aktiivsed piirkonnad ja pursked

There are six active regions visible on the disk. Flaring activity has been low, with only minor C-class flaring in the last 24 hours. The strongest one was a C2.9 flare from NOAA AR 3477 (beta magnetic field configuration), peaking at 20:50 UTC on 13 November. NOAA AR 3483 has a beta-gamma magnetic field configuration while the other regions have simpler beta magnetic field configuration. Most of these active regions are rotation out of view over the west limb. More C-class flares are expected.

Krooniaine massiline väljavool

No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.

Päikesetuul

In the last 24 hours, the Earth was under the influence of an ICME corresponding probably to an early arrival of the CME from 10 November. The ICME arrived around 16:20 UTC on 13 November with an interplanetary magnetic field reaching 15 nT (with positive Bz) and solar wind speed around 450 km/s. Similar disturbed conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetism

During the last 24 hours the geomagnetic conditions were quiet to unsettled (NOAA KP 3, K_Bel 3). Since Bz was positive within the ICME so far, its geomagnetic impact was minor. Similar conditions can be expected in the next 24 hours, with possible active and minor storm periods if Bz turns negative.

Prootoni voo tasemed

Over the past 24 hours the greater than 10 MeV GOES proton flux was at nominal levels and is expected to remain so over the next 24 hours.

Elektronivoog geostatsionaarsel orbiidil

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was below the 1000 pfu threshold, as measured by GOES 16. It is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours. The 24 hour electron fluence was at moderate levels, it is expected to stay at those levels for the next 24 hours.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 060, põhineb 10 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 13 Nov 2023

Catania Wolfi number	080
10cm päikesevoog	134
AK Chambon La Forêt	013
AK Wingst	018
Hinnanguline Ap	018
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv	074 - Põhineb 14 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

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