Vaata pühapäev, 10 detsember 2023 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2023 Dec 10 1236 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

10 cm voolAp
10 Dec 2023126007
11 Dec 2023126007
12 Dec 2023126007

Päikese aktiivsed piirkonnad ja pursked

Solar flaring activity was moderate over past 24 hours with two M-class flares and several C-class flares. The two M1.0 and M2.3 class flares were produced by the complex region, NOAA 3511, with a beta-gamma magnetic class. The flares peak time were at 13:19 UTC on December 09, and at 03:53 UTC on December 10 respectively. This region also produced several C-class flares. The other region, NOAA 3510 and NOAA 3513 also produced several C-class flares. C-class flares are expected in the next 24 hours with some chances of M-class flare from the two beta-gamma magnetic class regions: NOAA 3511 and NOAA 3513.

Krooniaine massiline väljavool

No Earth directed coronal mass ejection was identified in the currently available SOHO/LASCO-C2 coronographe images.

Krooniauk

The mid-latitude south coronal hole with a positive magnetic polarity has crossed the central median. A new equatorial coronal holes with positive magnetic polarity is on the East side of the solar disc facing Earth.

Päikesetuul

The Solar Wind (SW) conditions near Earth continue to show a slow solar wind regime. The SW speed ranged between 370 km/s and 460 km/s, the total interplanetary magnetic field (Bt) was below 5.0 nT. The North- South magnetic component (Bz) ranged between -4.2 nT and 3.5 nT. The interplanetary magnetic field phi angle was negative (directed towards the Sun) during the past 24 hours. The mid-latitude south coronal hole with a positive magnetic polarity that has crossed the central median on December 07 may slightly affect the SW conditions in the next days. Globally we do expect that the SW conditions remain mostly in a slow solar wind regime in the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetism

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both globally and locally (NOAA-Kp and K-BEL 1 to 2) during the last 24 hours. We expect mainly quiet conditions in the next 24 hours in response to the slow solar wind conditions.

Prootoni voo tasemed

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels over the past 24 hours and is expected to remain so for the next 24 hours.

Elektronivoog geostatsionaarsel orbiidil

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux, as measured by the GOES-16 satellite, was ranging around the 1000 pfu alert threshold during the last 24 hours due to the past fast solar wind conditions. It is expected to remain close to 1000 pfu during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at moderate levels during the past 24 hours and is expected to remain at these levels for the following 24 hours.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 128, põhineb 08 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 09 Dec 2023

Catania Wolfi number///
10cm päikesevoog128
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst001
Hinnanguline Ap002
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv141 - Põhineb 07 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

PäevAlgusMaksLõppLokatsioonTugevusOP10cmCatania/NOAARaadiosignaalipursete tüübid
09130313191337----M1.079/3511III/1
10034203530358S20W66M2.3SF79/3511

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

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