Vaata pühapäev, 17 märts 2024 arhiivi

SIDC igapäevane bülletään päikese ja geomagnetilise aktiivsuse kohta

Välja antud: 2024 Mar 17 1232 UTC

SIDC ennustus

Päikesepursked ehk loited

M-class flares expected (probability >=50%)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Päikese prootonid

Quiet

10 cm voolAp
17 Mar 2024144007
18 Mar 2024146007
19 Mar 2024148007

Päikese aktiivsed piirkonnad ja pursked

There are five active regions visible on the solar disk. They all have simple beta or alpha magnetic field configuration and produced minor C-class flaring. The main activity in the last 24 hours has been observed from active regions behind the east limb, that will rotate into view in the next hours. The strongest was an M3.5 flare peaking at 16:35 UTC on 16 March, from a region not yet visible, located behind the east limb. As these regions rotate into view, we expect more M-class and possible X-class flares in the next 24 hours.

Krooniaine massiline väljavool

There was a partial halo CME (angular width about 180 degrees) directed towards the south, first seen at 03:24 UTC by LASCO C2. This CME originates from a filament eruption in the southern hemisphere. Since the filament was located close to the disk center, an ICME may arrive to the Earth on 20-21 March (a better estimation will be given when more data become available).

Päikesetuul

Solar wind: The Earth is inside slow solar wind, with speeds close to 350 km/s and an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. Similar conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.

Geomagnetism

Geomagnetic conditions were quiet both global and locally (NOAA_Kp up to 1 and K_BEL up to 1). Similar conditions can be expected for the next 24 hours.

Prootoni voo tasemed

The 10 MeV proton flux (measured by GOES-18) has come below the 10 pfu threshold, but remains elevated. It is expected that it will go back to low levels in the next 24 hours.

Elektronivoog geostatsionaarsel orbiidil

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux from GOES 16 was below the threshold level in the last 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold during the next 24 hours. The 24h electron fluence was at normal level and is expected to remain so.

Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 074, põhineb 10 jaamadel.

Päikese indeksid 16 Mar 2024

Catania Wolfi number///
10cm päikesevoog144
AK Chambon La Forêt005
AK Wingst002
Hinnanguline Ap002
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv058 - Põhineb 23 jaamal

Märkimisväärsete sündmuste kokkuvõte

PäevAlgusMaksLõppLokatsioonTugevusOP10cmCatania/NOAARaadiosignaalipursete tüübid
16162216351644----M3.5--/----
16212721552211----M1.1--/----

Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive

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