Välja antud: 2025 Feb 17 1231 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10 cm vool | Ap | |
---|---|---|
17 Feb 2025 | 185 | 007 |
18 Feb 2025 | 187 | 007 |
19 Feb 2025 | 189 | 007 |
A total of 12 numbered sunspot groups were identified on the disk over the past 24 hours. Solar activity has been low int he last 24 hours, only C-class flaring was observed. The largest flare was a C6.1 flare (SIDC Flare 3629) peaking on February 16 at 18:38 UTC, which was produced by SIDC Sunspot Group 408 (NOAA Active Region 3998). Solar flaring activity is expected to be low over the next 24 hours, with C-class flares expected and a chance for M-class flares.
No Earth directed CMEs were observed in the last 24 hours.
SIDC Coronal Hole 91 (high-latitude coronal hole with a positive polarity) first reached the central meridian on February 16 and is now positioned on the western side of the Sun. This CH is located at high northern latitudes, so its solar wind will probably not affect the Earth.
The solar wind parameters at the Earth shows that the high speed stream is passing, and the solar wind is returning to slow solar wind conditions. Current solar wind speed is at 500 km/s with an interplanetary magnetic field around 5 nT. A gradual transition to slow solar wind conditions is expected for the next 24 hours.
Geomagnetic conditions reached active levels with Kp up to 4 between 21:00 UTC on 16 February and 00:00 UTC the next day. Mostly quiet to unsettled conditions can be expected or the next 24 hours.
The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was below the threshold level over the past 24 hours. It is expected to remain below the threshold level over the next 24 hours.
The greater-than-10 MeV GOES 16 and 18 proton flux has been above the threshold in the last 24 hours, but it is currently below it. It is expected to rise above the threshold in the next 24 hours. The 24-hour electron fluence is currently at normal levels and is expected to remain so in the next 24 hours.
Tänane hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv (ISN): 189, põhineb 14 jaamadel.
Catania Wolfi number | /// |
10cm päikesevoog | 185 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 029 |
AK Wingst | 022 |
Hinnanguline Ap | 022 |
Hinnanguline rahvusvaheline päikeselaikude arv | 185 - Põhineb 16 jaamal |
Päev | Algus | Maks | Lõpp | Lokatsioon | Tugevus | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Raadiosignaalipursete tüübid | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Andmed on esitanud Päikeseinfektide Andmeanalüüsi Keskus (Solar Influences Data Analysis Center)© - SIDC - Töötleb SpaceWeatherLive
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