Emesso: 2013 Jan 04 1259 UTC
Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
04 Jan 2013 | 129 | 001 |
05 Jan 2013 | 131 | 001 |
06 Jan 2013 | 133 | 001 |
Several C-class flares have been produced in the past 24h, the strongest one being a C1.7 from NOAA AR 1640, peaking at 21:38 UT on January 3. This AR has developed into a beta-gamma-delta magnetic configuration. It will most likely produce more C-class flares, and has potential for M-class events. In the last images from SWAP and SDO an eruption can be seen in NOAA AR 1639 (located at S16 W30) starting at 09:00 UT. There is still not enough coronagraph data to asses a possible Earth-directed CME. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet and expected to remain so.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 100, based on 05 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 129 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 003 |
AK Wingst | 001 |
Estimated Ap | 001 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 092 - Based on 09 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Fine | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Radio burst types | Catania/NOAA | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nessuna |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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